COVID: Here we go again

Vitaliy_Kiselev

The authorities of Buryatia decided to return part of the restrictions due to the increase in the number of cases of COVID-19, according to a message on the official portal of the republic.

The regional government noted that Buryatia is the third, after Moscow and St. Petersburg, in terms of the rate of increase in the incidence.

“Today there has been a significant increase in the need for hospitalization over the past week. If we compare with the data as of May 31, then there were half the number of patients on treatment. At the moment, 1211 beds are deployed. The occupancy of the bed capacity is high, in the morning it amounted to 91%, ”said the Minister of Health of Buryatia, Evgenia Ludupova.

In the republican Rospotrebnadzor, the deterioration of the epidemiological situation was associated with mass gatherings of citizens.

In reality it is because all mass media already told everyone that we won and COVID won't return :-) Same as they did last summer.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

The St. Petersburg Department of Rospotrebnadzor by its decree introduced a ban on the provision of planned assistance and medical examinations in the city on the Neva.

The document dated January 21 states that due to the deterioration of the situation due to the “omicron”, from now until further notice, a ban is introduced on preventive medical examinations and medical examinations of certain groups of the population, as well as medical examinations of children.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Russian President Vladimir Putin believes the country has roughly two weeks to prepare for another pandemic strike.

"We see what is happening in the world. This suggests that we have at least a couple of weeks to get ready," the head of state said on Wednesday at a meeting with members of the government. So he reacted to the report of Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova on the situation with the spread of coronavirus and its new strain "omicron".

Putin considers it necessary to properly prepare for a possible new wave of covid in all regions of the country. "In order to work effectively, we need to mobilize institutions of various kinds - both federal institutions and regional, local, sectoral ones. We need to work with everyone and be ready for a possible impact of this virus on a new round," the president stressed.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Mordor/US comparison in mortality

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Tatyana Golikova said that mortality in Russia in October 2021 increased by 20.3 percent compared to the same period in 2020.

"According to official data from Rosstat, mortality in October 2021 compared to the same period last year increased by 20.3 percent, in January-October 2021 compared to January-October 2020 - by 19.1 percent," - said the Deputy Prime Minister.

All is bad.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

New 1990s in Russia

Age-specific mortality rate (AMR). This is the proportion of people who have died of a CERTAIN AGE this year. It is considered according to certain age groups, for example, VKS for women 45-49 years old. Obviously, this indicator does not depend on the age structure - after all, if there are more people in this age group, this will not affect the relative number of deaths of these ages.

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'

EIC "Invest-Proekt" published a study of the profitability of Russians and found out that the state earns on a conditional Russian twice as much as it spends on its maintenance. Quote:

“According to the calculations of the ECC“ Invest-Project ”, the average profitability of a conventional Russian for 2010-2020 was 186.2%.

For calculations, we took the consolidated budget expenditures of all levels (federal, regional and local) for each year and divided by the annual GDP per capita. The conventional Russian is profitable.

But as you can see from the graph above, over 10 years, the growth in profitability on an annualized basis happened only 3 times - in 2011, 2017 and 2018. At the same time, it is curious to note that the conventional Russian gave the highest profitability in 2018 (202.2%), which just coincided with the increase in VAT. The lowest level of profitability for this decade is expected at the end of 2020 - 176.2%.

Thus, the profitability per conditional Russian can be called one of the key targets for the effectiveness of socio-economic development "

Vitaliy_Kiselev

COVID deaths

Note that abnormal situation with two most dense cities. Instead the deaths are maximal in the region with lowest people density. It is filly opposite to that we had one year ago.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Frequency of different strains

B.1.617.2 is famous delta.

Looking at the dynamics it is possible that we have some form of seeding the virus in the places where lot of people can be - trade centers and food shops.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

The natural population decline (excess of the number of deaths over the number of births) in Russia in January-August 2021 increased by 71.6% compared to January-August 2020.

According to Rosstat, the natural decline for this period amounted to 595.3 thousand people against 346.9 thousand people a year earlier.

At the same time, the number of births in January-August 2021 decreased by 1.1% - to 928,184 children from 938,295 in January-August 2020.

The number of deaths in the Russian Federation in January-August 2021 increased by 18.5% - to 1 million 523 646 people from 1 million 285 199 people in January-August 2020.

The natural population decline in the Russian Federation in 2020 more than doubled - to 688.7 thousand people from 316.2 thousand people in 2019. This indicator became the maximum since 2005 - then the natural population decline was 846.6 thousand people.

The population of Russia in 2020 decreased by more than 0.5 million people (due to positive migration, the population decreased slightly less than the natural decline rate), to 146.17 million.

According to Rosstat, the resident population of the Russian Federation as of August 1, 2021 amounted to 145.8 million people.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Daily reports on cases and deaths from COVID-19 are reminiscent of reports from the front. Every day there are more than 20,000 cases across the country. On Tuesday, 21,559 people fell ill, a new daily record was broken in terms of the number of deaths - 852 people died. There is growing talk that there is a new, fourth wave of coronavirus and that only a universal vaccination can cope with the pandemic

Vitaliy_Kiselev

In Russia, 20174 new cases of coronavirus infection were detected, according to the operational headquarters. The daily number of cases for the second day in a row exceeds 20 thousand - on the eve of the authorities reported 20.3 thousand infected.

The largest number of infected people was found in Moscow - 2376. Petersburg is in second place (1834), in third - Moscow region (1004). In the Moscow region, the daily rate exceeded 1,000 for the first time since August 24.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova said that about a third of Russians die at working age, 80 percent of them are men.

"Of the total number of deaths in Russia, almost a third are citizens of working age, of which 80 percent are the male part of the population," she said at the All-Russian Labor Protection Week.

Vitaliy_Kiselev

The population of Russia continues to decline rapidly, despite promises of "help and benefits", as well as calls from officials to give birth.

According to the latest data from Rosstat, in the first half of 2021, 678.1 thousand children were born in Russia, which was the minimum since 2001. The death toll in the same period was 1.1 million. This is 265.5 thousand people, or 59%, more than death in the last pandemic year. 66 thousand migrants arrived. Thus, the natural population decline amounted to 307.7 thousand people in six months.

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