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Financial markets crash over fears of something
  • http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/22/business/dealbook/global-markets-fall-for-second-day.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0

    Stock prices around the world continued to plunge on Friday, threatening to end one of the longest bull runs in the history of the United States stock market.

    A searing six-year rally in United States stocks had advanced into the summer months, shrugging off challenges like the dispute over Greece’s debt that nearly led to the country crashing out of the euro. But in the last two weeks, world markets tumbled as investors grew increasingly concerned about economic conditions in China, which unexpectedly devalued its currency last week, and the outlook for the economies of other large developing countries.

    As the selling accelerated Friday afternoon, some benchmark indexes were at or near 10 percent below their recent peaks — a “correction” in Wall Street parlance. “This is likely going to go down as the first meaningful correction in four years,” said David Rosenberg, an economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff.

    Sell-offs in the financial markets need not cause harm in the real economy. In many cases in the postwar period, the United States stock market has recovered after reacting negatively to problems overseas. Strong employment numbers and other economic indicators suggest that the United States economy remains resilient.

    Still, fear in financial markets can feed on itself. And the declines in the markets are coming not only as China struggles, but also as the Federal Reserve is winding down its huge stimulus efforts. Trillions of dollars of cheap money from the Fed has fueled economic growth and helped push markets higher around the world. Now, the question is whether the world can stay on the recovery path without the Fed’s largess.

    Such concerns on Friday helped push stocks far below the peaks they reached just weeks ago when investors were ebullient. The Dow Jones industrial average is more than 10 percent below the high it reached in May. At Friday’s close, the index was down 530.94 points, to 16,459.75, a loss of 3.1 percent on the day.

    The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, a broader benchmark, fell below the psychologically important 2,000 mark. It was down 3.2 percent on the day and more than 7 percent below its recent peak. It fell 64.84 points, to 1,970.89. The index lost $1.14 trillion in value this week, according to S.&P.

  • 14 Replies sorted by
  • Well, it's at least as newsworthy as the small explosion in China. There are conspiracy theorists here, finance people here, prognosticators here, might be interesting to get some weather forecasts from the PV users.

  • @brianl

    Got it.

    You can take my forecast - in village Gadyukino it will rain, for months, after long period all village will be washed away.

  • @Vitaliy

    Is the rain and flood due to Chinese currency devaluation?

  • Is the rain and flood due to Chinese currency devaluation?

    No, Chinese currency is one of the leaves affected by the rain.

  • when the S&P drops thru the 1200s I'll start to believe that we have a market crash

  • http://english.pravda.ru/business/finance/20-03-2015/130081-seven_year_cycle_collapse-0/ Seven-year cycle predicts 2015 collapse

    1966: Stock market collapse, Vietnam War, protests

    1973: Oil embargo (Oct), Yom Kippur war, Stocks collapse, recession

    1980: Inflation, Iran-Iraq war, Silver panic, Stocks crash, recession

    1987: Black Monday (Oct.), largest single-day crash ever

    1994: Bond collapse, DJIA bear market, war

    2001: Stock market crash, 911 (Sept.), recession

    2008: Stock market collapse 9/29 (Sept.), recession

    2015:

  • @babypanda

    People like cycles :-) But it is all bullshit, except very few nature related things.

  • Well, could be bullshit. But if you ask a mathemetician to calculate the probability of 7 consecutive crashes occuring exactly 7 years apart, I'm sure the odds would be staggering.

  • But if you ask a mathemetician to calculate the probability of 7 consecutive crashes occuring exactly 7 years apart, I'm sure the odds would be staggering.

    Well, and instead of just looking you start reading you will see that 2001 is not year of dot com crash. Instead, September was not so much crash at all comparing to this.

    Some other dates also added/adjusted to make it look like author likes.

    Cycles are like religion, you need to believe in it, no need for any logic or scientific methods.

  • It's not September.

  • 2001 is not year of dot com crash

    2001 is the year of the 911 crash.

    But cycles aside, the fact is that the market crashes quite frequently. Isn't this cause for suspicion that it's corrupt? It seems like playing the stock market is like playing musical chairs when you were a kid at a birthday party. Nobody knows when the music will stop and you might lose your chair. Surely there must be better ways to invest money out there than taking stupid risks that is the stock market?