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China: Failing Property Boom
  • https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-property-real-estate-boom-covid-pandemic-bubble-11594908517

    Even the coronavirus hasn’t stopped the world’s biggest asset bubble from getting bigger. After a brief pause during coronavirus lockdowns in February, a Chinese property boom in some megacities that many thought was unsustainable has resumed its relentless upward climb, with prices rising higher and investors chasing deals despite millions of job losses and other economic problems. In March, 288 apartments in a new Shenzhen property development sold out online in less than eight minutes. A few days later, buyers snapped up more than 400 units in a new housing complex in Suzhou. In Shanghai, apartment resales neared a record high in April, by one estimate. One Saturday last month, nearly 9,000 people each put down a deposit of one million yuan ($141,300) to qualify to buy apartments in a Shenzhen development.

    One of the worst outcomes of super capitalism happening in mainland China. This mimics very much like Japan before Japan's real estate asset market blew up in 80's. Capital gains are not going into good investments. This speculative money will boost up into the sky and slam hard into the ground.

  • 3 Replies sorted by
  • @stonebat

    Property boom during this stage comes from two sources:

    1. As China pour new printed money that provide them as credit money to poor families, so it is more buyers for same amount of new flats, hence big price rise.
    2. Big price rise very much helps pour even more money as now family can get new credits using their credited flat. If it suddenly costs twice as much, you can get new credits for this rise.

    In US it is all same.

    Also in specific regions prices actually regulate workforce streams (same in US), so to get into regions with good salaries or attractive place you need to invest huge money into bad living space. See New York for reference.

  • Obviously you haven't seen the real estate price hiking graph over the time in China in recent years.

  • @stonebat

    Obviously you haven't seen the real estate price hiking graph over the time in China in recent years.

    Obviously you rarely visited PV lately as you tell this :-)